Andres FerrariMar 27, 2025, 07:51 AM ET
Shut
- Andres Ferrari is ESPN.com’s boxing and MMA senior editor.
Two main rematches take heart level on Saturday, when WBO ladies’s welterweight champion Mikaela Mayer takes on Sandy Ryan in Las Vegas (ESPN/ESPN+, 10 p.m. ET, with prelims at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+), and WBC intervening time light-weight titleholder William Zepeda meets Tevin Farmer in Cancun, Mexico.
Mayer (20-2, 5 KOs) defeated Ryan (7-2-1, 3 KOs) via majority choice in the primary tournament of a boxing card at The Theater within Madison Sq. Lawn closing September. Forward of the battle, Ryan was once struck with a can of pink paint via an unidentified particular person as she was once leaving her resort to go to the battle. Ryan was once unhurt and made her method to the venue. She blamed Mayer and her crew for the assault, one thing they have got denied.
The warring parties had evolved a powerful disdain for every different forward of the battle because of a teacher. Mayer have been coaching with Kay Koroma for many of her profession, however in September 2023, “Trainer Kay” began coaching Ryan as smartly. Feeling there was once a war of pastime, Mayer left Koroma for teacher Kofi Jantuah, who was once additionally on her crew, following her loss to Natasha Jonas in January 2024.
Mayer beat Ryan via scorecards of 93-97, 94-96 and 95-95 in a detailed battle that separated each fighter via only one punch — Mayer landed 186 punches to Ryan’s 185 and likewise edged Ryan in energy punches landed (132-128). However Ryan landed 3 extra jabs than Mayer (57 to 54) right through the ten rounds.
Zepeda (32-0, 27 KOs) defeated Farmer (33-7-1, 8 KOs) via cut up choice closing November in a battle for the WBC light-weight intervening time identify. The warring parties sere separated via only one spherical in all 3 scorecards (94-95 two times for Zepeda and 95-94 for Farmer).
Whilst Zepeda, who was once knocked down in Spherical 4, threw 191 extra punches than Farmer, he landed handiest 33.3% of his general punches to 32.9% for Farmer. Zepeda additionally landed 90 frame punches to simply 45 for Farmer.
Let’s take a look at each rematches via the numbers. Data from ESPN Analysis and CompuBox was once used on this record.
Mikaela Mayer vs. Sandy Ryan
| Mikaela Mayer | Sandy Ryan | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Age | 31 |
| 20-2 | File | 7-2-1 |
| 5 | KOs | 3 |
| 5-foot-9 | Peak | 5-foot-8½ |
| 66½ inches | Achieve | 67½ inches |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| Forest Hills, California | Birthplace | Derby, England |
-115: Ryan’s odds to win the battle consistent with ESPN BET. Mayer is the underdog at -105.
60: Share of punches landed via Ryan in Rounds 6 to ten (111 of 185). Mayer landed 54% of her punches in that very same length (101 of 186). The most important distinction within the battle was once Mayer’s jab. She threw 317 jabs and 319 energy punches, virtually a 50-50 breakdown. Ryan threw 224 jabs and 343 energy punches. Handiest 40% of her punches had been jabs.
| Punches | Mayer (closing 15 fights) | Ryan (closing 7 fights) | Div. avg. |
|---|---|---|---|
| General avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 53.6 | 42.5 | 56.5 |
| General avg. landed consistent with spherical/Frame | 18.7 (6.5) | 13.6 (4.4) | 16.3 |
| Share | 34.9% | 32% | 29.4% |
| Frame landed ratio | 34.3% | 30.9% | N/A |
| Jabs avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 21.1 | 17.4 | 23.3 |
| Jabs avg. landed consistent with spherical | 3.8 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| Share | 18% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| Energy avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 32.5 | 25.1 | 32.2 |
| Energy avg. landed consistent with spherical | 14.8 | 10 | 11.8 |
| Share | 45.5% | 39.8% | 36.6% |
5: Collection of identify fights for Ryan (together with Saturday’s rematch with Mayer) in her 11 professional fights. Ryan defeated Marie-Pier Houle via unanimous choice in April 2023 to win the vacant WBO welterweight identify. She fought to a attract a unification battle towards Jessica McCaskill in September 2023, then made one a hit protection towards Terri Harper in March 2024, earlier than dropping to Mayer in September.
9: Collection of identify fights for Mayer (together with Saturday’s battle with Ryan), and 3rd at welterweight. Mayer misplaced to Natasha Jonas in January 2024 by the use of cut up choice whilst difficult for the IBF welterweight identify. She then defeated Ryan in September 2024 to seize the WBO belt. She additionally had identify fights at junior light-weight and light-weight (intervening time identify).
7: Mayer’s spot in ESPN’s pound-for-pound ladies’s scores. She’s additionally the No. 2-ranked welterweight at the back of three-belt unified champion Lauren Value.
1: Distinction in punches landed of their first battle (186 to 185, in choose of Mayer).
Mayer-Ryan 1 punches thrown/landed via spherical – CompuBox punch stats
| Spherical | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General: | ||||||||||
| Mayer: | 14/42 | 14/49 | 19/52 | 15/62 | 12/46 | 28/59 | 21/70 | 17/63 | 24/66 | 21/58 |
| Pct.: | 33.3% | 28.6% | 36.5% | 24.2% | 26.1% | 47.5% | 30% | 27% | 36.4% | 36.2% |
| Ryan: | 11/52 | 17/70 | 17/60 | 26/70 | 14/53 | 23/77 | 21/64 | 14/69 | 20/60 | 23/61 |
| Pct.: | 21.2% | 24.3% | 28.3% | 37.1% | 26.4% | 29.9% | 32.8% | 20.3% | 33.3% | 37.7% |
| Jabs: | ||||||||||
| Mayer: | 9/32 | 6/25 | 5/15 | 3/28 | 6/23 | 5/10 | 6/27 | 5/26 | 7/19 | 5/19 |
| Pct.: | 28.1% | 24% | 33.3% | 10.7% | 26.1% | 50% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 36.8% | 26.3% |
| Ryan: | 4/38 | 7/46 | 2/23 | 9/39 | 8/33 | 6/31 | 6/29 | 3/27 | 3/26 | 6/25 |
| Pct.: | 10.5% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 23.1% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 24% |
| Energy: | ||||||||||
| Mayer: | 5/10 | 8/24 | 14/37 | 12/34 | 6/23 | 23/49 | 15/43 | 12/37 | 17/47 | 16/39 |
| Pct.: | 50% | 33.3% | 37.8% | 35.3% | 26.1% | 46.9% | 34.9% | 32.4% | 36.2% | 41% |
| Ryan: | 7/14 | 10.24 | 15/37 | 17/31 | 6/20 | 17/46 | 15/35 | 11/42 | 17/34 | 17/36 |
| Pct.: | 50% | 41.7% | 40.5% | 54.8% | 30% | 37% | 42.9% | 26.2% | 50% | 47.2% |
32.6: Share of punches landed via Ryan in her first battle towards Mayer (185 of 567). She additionally landed a better share in jabs (25.4% to 17% for Mayer).
9: Best collection of jabs landed via Mayer and Ryan of their first battle (Ryan in Spherical 1 and Mayer in Spherical 4). Neither Mayer nor Ryan threw jabs in double digits in any spherical.
8: Collection of rounds during which Ryan landed energy punches in double digits, to Ryan’s seven. Mayer’s best spherical was once the tenth, when she landed 50% of her energy punches. Ryan landed 54.8% in Spherical 4.
44: General punches landed to the frame via Mayer, to 33 for Ryan. Of the ones Mayer punches, handiest 5 had been jabs, to simply two landed via Ryan.
William Zepeda vs. Tevin Farmer
| William Zepeda | Tevin Farmer | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Age | 34 |
| 32-0 | File | 33-7-1 |
| 27 | KOs | 8 |
| 5-foot-9 | Peak | 5-foot-6 |
| 69½ inches | Achieve | 67 inches |
| Southpaw | Stance | Southpaw |
| San Mateo Atenco, Mexico | Birthplace | Philadelphia, Pennsylvania |
-750: Zepeda’s odds to win the battle consistent with ESPN BET. Farmer is the underdog at +475.
31.9: Reasonable of punches landed consistent with spherical via Zepeda in his closing 10 fights. That is the best possible amongst champions and identify contenders at 135 kilos (15.9). He throws 96.5 punches consistent with spherical, additionally best possible amongst light-weight champs and contenders. When compared, Farmer throws 55 punches consistent with spherical, whilst the department moderate is 56.6.
23.8: Reasonable of energy punches landed consistent with spherical via Zepeda in his closing 10 fights, 2nd best possible amongst light-weight champions and contenders. That is precisely two times the common for the department (11.9 consistent with spherical), and 10 extra punches than Farmer (13.8 consistent with spherical).
| Punches | Zepeda (closing 10 fights) | Farmer (closing 10 fights) | Div. avg. |
|---|---|---|---|
| General avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 96.5 | 55 | 56.6 |
| General avg. landed consistent with spherical/Frame | 31.9 (11.1) | 16.4 (6.4) | 15.9 |
| Share | 33.1% | 29.8% | 28.1% |
| Frame landed ratio | 34.2% | 38.9% | N/A |
| Jabs avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 39.4 | 21.1 | 23 |
| Jabs avg. landed consistent with spherical | 8.1 | 2.6 | 4 |
| Share | 20.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% |
| Energy avg. thrown consistent with spherical | 57.1 | 34 | 33.6 |
| Energy avg. landed consistent with spherical | 23.8 | 13.8 | 11.9 |
| Share | 41.7% | 40.6% | 35.4% |
29.2 Share of energy punches landed on Zepeda via his fighters (11.4 consistent with spherical).
34.2: Share of frame punches landed via Zepeda. Farmer lands 38.9%. The CompuBox moderate for the light-weight department is 29.5%.
19: Punches consistent with spherical landed via Farmer in his first battle towards Zepeda, virtually 3 greater than his 16.4 moderate. Of the ones punches landed, 13.8 consistent with spherical are energy punches.
79: Energy punches to the frame landed via Zepeda within the first battle towards Farmer, who landed handiest 42 of his energy punches to the frame.
3: General jabs to the frame landed via Farmer towards Zepeda of their first battle. That is not up to part of his moderate of 6.4 landed consistent with spherical.
7: Distinction in punches landed consistent with spherical of their first battle, in choose of Zepeda. Zepeda additionally averaged 19 extra punches thrown (78-59) .
1: Knockdown of their first battle. Farmer dropped Zepeda with a left hand counter within the fourth spherical.
Zepeda-Farmer 1 punches thrown/landed via spherical – CompuBox punch stats
| Spherical | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General: | ||||||||||
| Zepeda: | 18/50 | 32/96 | 29/90 | 21/67 | 31/84 | 27/74 | 22/73 | 26/76 | 31/89 | 22/79 |
| Pct.: | 36% | 33.3% | 32.2% | 31.3% | 36.9% | 36.5% | 30.1% | 34.2% | 34.8% | 27.8% |
| Farmer: | 12/39 | 18/49 | 17/52 | 21/61 | 24/65 | 18/63 | 18/58 | 19/67 | 24/68 | 22/65 |
| Pct.: | 30.8% | 36.7% | 32.7% | 34.4% | 36.9% | 28.6% | 31% | 28.4% | 35.3% | 33.8% |
| Jabs: | ||||||||||
| Zepeda: | 10/28 | 14.4 | 12/47 | 11/38 | 3/28 | 7/29 | 10/33 | 10/36 | 8/33 | 6/28 |
| Pct.: | 35.7% | 31.8% | 25.5% | 28.9% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 30.3% | 27.8% | 24.2% | 21.4% |
| Farmer: | 8/29 | 6/24 | 5/23 | 6/24 | 8/28 | 2/20 | 5/16 | 4/24 | 7/19 | 4/19 |
| Pct.: | 27.6% | 25% | 21.7% | 25% | 28.6% | 10% | 31.3% | 16.7% | 36.8% | 21.1% |
| Energy: | ||||||||||
| Zepeda: | 8/22 | 18/52 | 17/43 | 10/29 | 28/56 | 20/45 | 12/40 | 16/40 | 23/56 | 16/51 |
| Pct.: | 36.4% | 34.6% | 39.5% | 34.5% | 50% | 44.4% | 30% | 40% | 41.1% | 31.4% |
| Farmer: | 4/10 | 12/25 | 12/29 | 15/37 | 16/37 | 16/43 | 13/42 | 15/43 | 17/49 | 18/46 |
| Pct.: | 40% | 48% | 41.4% | 40.5% | 43.2% | 37.2% | 31% | 34.9% | 34.7% | 39.1% |
